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Charlebois: How glyphosate became agriculture's scapegoat

Lawsuits over herbicide

In a quiet but seismic signal to the global agri-food industry, Bayer is warning it may halt the production of glyphosate — the world’s most widely used herbicide — amid mounting legal pressure and ballooning compensation payouts.

The German agrochemical giant has already earmarked US$16 billion to settle tens of thousands of lawsuits in the United States, while never admitting liability and standing firm on the assertion that glyphosate does not cause cancer. In Canada, similar class-action suits are now beginning to surface.

For Bayer, the issue is not science — it’s economics.

The financial and reputational burden of defending glyphosate is beginning to outweigh its commercial value. With each new lawsuit, the cost of maintaining the herbicide’s market presence rises. Whether glyphosate remains legally defensible is one question — whether it is worth defending, commercially, is another. At some point, something has to give — and it may simply be cheaper to pull the plug, develop a next-generation alternative, and rebrand.

Much of this trouble can be traced back to 2018, when Bayer acquired Monsanto for $63 billion. The merger was meant to create a global powerhouse in seeds and crop science. But Bayer may have seriously underestimated the legal baggage that came with Monsanto — particularly its deepening litigation over glyphosate and the product’s alleged link to cancer. What was initially viewed as a bold strategic move has since become one of the most expensive and reputationally damaging acquisitions in corporate history.

And yet, this moment also presents an opportunity. Bayer could turn the page by investing in a new product — one that delivers agronomic value while also meeting the rising demands of environmental sustainability and social acceptability. In an era of growing consumer scrutiny and regulatory caution, a replacement for glyphosate that is both effective and aligned with societal expectations could reshape Bayer’s legacy and restore public trust in crop science.

Glyphosate has played a central role in modern agriculture’s ability to increase yields, reduce labour costs, and conserve soil through no-till practices. Its abrupt removal could disrupt farming systems, especially in countries that depend heavily on crop protection tools to remain globally competitive.

The controversy around glyphosate centres on claims that it causes non-Hodgkin lymphoma, yet the evidence remains inconclusive. The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) classified glyphosate as “probably carcinogenic to humans” in 2015 — a category that includes hot beverages and red meat. However, regulatory bodies around the world, including Health Canada, the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), have consistently concluded that glyphosate poses no unacceptable risk to human health when used as directed.

Yet the courts have not been swayed by scientific consensus. They have responded to emotional testimonies and procedural arguments, producing headline-grabbing verdicts that often overlook scientific rigour. The result is a troubling precedent — one that may discourage companies from pursuing innovation out of fear of legal exposure.

The Canadian dimension should not be overlooked. Should similar lawsuits gain traction here, Canadian farmers may face higher costs and reduced access to essential crop protection tools. That, in turn, could affect everything from yield forecasts to global trade flows. At a time when the world is already navigating climate shocks, fertilizer shortages, and supply chain disruptions, further limitations on inputs could drive food prices even higher.

Food security depends not just on land and labour, but on the ability to innovate and manage risk. Glyphosate has been a cornerstone of that risk management for decades. Losing it — particularly without a viable, scalable alternative — would be a significant setback.

The Bayer story, then, is not just about a chemical. It’s about how scientific credibility, legal activism, and public perception can collide with profound consequences. And in the end, it may be consumers who pay the price.

If the goal is a safer, more sustainable food system, decisions about agricultural tools must be grounded in evidence — not fear, emotion, or politics. Bayer’s best move may be forward, not backward: By innovating a new solution that farmers can trust, regulators can approve, and society can embrace.

Sylvain Charlebois is the Director of the Agri-Food Analytics Lab at Dalhousie University and co-host of The Food Professor Podcast

This article is written by or on behalf of an outsourced columnist and does not necessarily reflect the views of Castanet.





Leyne: It will take more than 'lots of sunshine' to lure Canadians to California

Canadians boycotting U.S.

Premier David Eby and California Governor Gavin Newsom each gave breezy summaries of their brief video chat Monday that left the impression it was a pretty routine get-together.

But the next day, Newsom announced an ad campaign aimed at stemming the notice­able drop in Canadian visits to the U.S. and encouraging “northern neighbours” to visit his state.

You get the impression something was left off the public list of topics discussed.

Boycotting the U.S. is one of Eby’s favourite topics when it comes to raging about U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic attacks on Canada.

He cancelled a family trip to Disneyland in protest and has repeatedly urged British Columbians to cancel travel plans to the U.S. Last week, he issued a directive to curb government travel there and freeze out U.S. suppliers where viable.

You have to wonder if Newsom asked Eby to cool it.

Newsom posted that “the state of mind in the U.S. has dramatically changed as it relates to Canada,” as an oblique reference to Trump’s destruction of the formerly friendly relationship.

“We want to make sure we send a message to our Canadian friends up north to come to a state where two million Canadians visited last year.”

Some of the selling points of the California campaign: “We’re 2,000 miles from Washington and a world away in mindset.

“There’s lots of sunshine and a whole lot of love for our neighbours up north.”

Sure, you-know-who is trying to stir things up back in D.C., but don’t let that ruin your beach plans.

His post sparked the predictable barrage of sarcastic online contempt. Here's a ample:

“I don’t want to be the first Canadian with a spicy social media presence to end up in a foreign gulag because half your country is fine with voting the Antichrist into power.”

That’s a reference to a man with no criminal record who entered the U.S. illegally 14 years ago who was suddenly deported to an El Salvador prison. It was acknowledged as a mistake but Trump is refusing to return him.

It is remarkable how fears of arbitrary arrests have become a common concern after numerous dubious apprehensions by immigration and border officials.

Last month, a B.C. woman who entered the U.S. from Mexico was detained in a facility for almost two weeks because she didn’t have a work visa, and then deported.

There have been various official cautions about visiting the U.S. since Trump regained office.

Housing Minister Ravi Kahlon, who heads the NDP cabinet’s war room in the economic battle, voiced the same worry Tuesday.

“A lot of people have come to me who are really afraid of travelling to the U.S.”

Kahlon said he knows of someone who was held at the border for 10 hours.

“The family didn’t know where he was or what was happening, and so the fear is real.”

Kahlon and Eby have both expressed admiration for Canadians who are cancelling travel plans to the U.S. in protest over Trump.

Visit California, the state tourism agency, said Trump’s policies have dramatically cut Canadian tourism — by 12 per cent in February compared with last year.

The agency spends $5.2 million a year on Canadian advertising and is extending that budget in a bid to curb the drop.

It said two million Canadian visitors who went to California last year spent $3.72 billion.

That is a minimal part of the $150 billion generated by tourism there in a year. But Visit California is forecasting a ­$6-billion drop in tourism revenue this year arising from Trump’s policies.

The latest statistics from U.S. Customs and Border Protection, released Monday, show a drop of 864,844 travellers from Canada to the U.S. in March. There were 4.9 million in March 2024 and 4.1 million last month.

That follows a drop of about 500,000 in February.

The trend line in border crossing will be only minimally affected by Newsom or Eby’s contradictory recommendations.

It’s much more about a visceral reaction to the Trump administration that is driving people to arrive at their own conclusions.

Les Leyne is a columnist with the Time-Colonist newspaper in Victoria.

This article is written by or on behalf of an outsourced columnist and does not necessarily reflect the views of Castanet.



Charlebois: Counter-tariffs, not Trump, hurting Canada’s food economy

Canada's tariff response

Canada’s food processing sector is becoming increasingly vulnerable – not merely due to global market volatility, but as a direct consequence of Ottawa’s policy decisions.

In choosing to retaliate against U.S. protectionism with formal counter-tariffs, Canada now finds itself aligned with China as one of only two countries to pursue such measures. While these actions may serve domestic political optics, they are inflicting measurable and lasting harm on Canada’s food manufacturing ecosystem.

Tariffs on U.S. food ingredients and critical inputs such as food-grade aluminum and steel are rippling through the supply chain. Large multinational processors often have the ability to absorb or deflect these added costs, passing them on to dominant grocery retailers like Loblaw, Sobeys, and Metro. Those grocers, in turn, push the increases to consumers. The result is a persistent layer of food price inflation that is now entrenched across many product categories.

But the deepest strain is being felt by Canada’s smaller, regionally based food manufacturers – the vast network of family-owned processors and local businesses that make up the core of this sector. These firms operate with tighter margins, limited purchasing power, and few options for substituting inputs.

And many now face cost increases of 15% to 25% on specific goods – levels that can jeopardize their viability.

Although Ottawa claims that mechanisms exist to offset these tariff impacts, the design of the system largely excludes the very firms it is meant to protect. Most smaller processors don’t import directly; they purchase ingredients through distributors and brokers, who are registered as the importers of record. Consequently, any rebates or tariff refunds are routed to intermediaries, not the manufacturers actually absorbing the higher costs.

Federal guidelines often classify end-users in ways that further disqualify small manufacturers from receiving support. This is what we are hearing from food manufacturers.

If a food manufacturer isn’t both the importer of record and the end-user, it’s out of luck – effectively excluding hundreds of food processors across the country.

The policy design here reveals a fundamental misunderstanding of how Canada’s food supply chain actually works. Expecting small processors to negotiate retroactive relief from intermediaries – some of whom are foreign-owned – is both impractical and naive. Encouraging them to “source elsewhere” ignores ingredient-specific dependencies that cannot be easily replicated outside the U.S.

The downstream effects are already emerging: reduced innovation, diminished product variety, and fewer new entrants in the market. With less competition and more reliance on imports, Canada’s food sovereignty erodes – and the system becomes more fragile.

This isn’t about whether Canada should take a stand in trade disputes. It’s about choosing tools that don’t quietly undermine our own economic foundation. Trade tensions with the United States – a country that accounts for roughly one-quarter of global GDP – requires more than performative gestures. They demand smart, targeted policy informed by rigorous economic analysis.

Mark Carney may view himself as a caretaker of Canada’s economic future in the face of Washington’s unpredictability, but current trade policy tells a different story – one in which political symbolism is prioritized over economic substance.

The food economy is paying the price for this disconnect, quietly but surely.

Canada’s independent processors are the backbone of our food manufacturing base. If they are forced out of the market by blunt instruments like counter-tariffs, the cost will be borne not just by business owners, but by consumers – through higher prices, fewer choices, and a diminished capacity to feed ourselves.

Sylvain Charlebois is the director of the Agri-Food Analytics Lab at Dalhousie University and co-host of The Food Professor Podcast.

This article is written by or on behalf of an outsourced columnist and does not necessarily reflect the views of Castanet.





Afesorgbor: Canada mostly spared from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs but must not grow complacent

Canada and U.S. tariffs

United States President Donald Trump’s so-called "Liberation Day" introduced sweeping reciprocal tariffs on approximately 60 countries on April 2.

Canada, a major U.S. trading partner, was largely spared from those reciprocal tariffs thanks to the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) — a free trade agreement renegotiated and signed by the previous Trump administration in 2020.

Although it may appear Canada has avoided the worst of the tariff measures, other existing tariffs could still significantly impact Canadian trade with the U.S.

Currently, Canada faces other tariffs on its exports to the U.S., which Trump has linked to concerns over illicit drugs and immigrants crossing the border. Under these measures, the U.S. has imposed a 25 per cent tariff on non-CUSMA compliant goods. Canadian energy and potash exports that are not CUSMA-compliant have been hit with a 10 per cent tariff.

If the current tariffs related to fentanyl and migration are lifted, CUSMA-compliant goods would continue to enjoy preferential treatment, while non-compliant goods would then be subject to a 12 per cent reciprocal tariff.

What makes a product CUSMA-compliant?

Under CUSMA, a product is considered compliant if it originates from any of the three member countries: Canada, the U.S. or Mexico. This means the product satisfies the originating status according to the rules of origin criteria listed in the CUSMA agreement.

To be deemed originating, some of the criteria includes, for instance:

• The product is wholly produced in the territory of one of the member states.

• If the product is produced with non-originating materials, the regional value of content must not be less than product specific rules of origin.

• The product has undergone substantial transformation or a change in tariff classification.

Regional value content is the difference between the transaction value of a product adjusted for costs related to international shipping of the good, and the value of non-originating material. It is expressed as a percentage of the transaction value.

When a product qualifies for an originating status, it is considered CUSMA-compliant. It then qualifies for a preferential treatment, which means it can enter the CUSMA market duty-free or at a reduced rate.

Products exported under CUSMA

Under the CUSMA tariff schedule, which outlines tariff commitments on Canadian products, the vast majority of Canadian exports to the U.S. are eligible for preferential treatment.

In fact, more than 98 per cent of tariff lines and more than 99.9 per cent of bilateral trade are CUSMA-compliant, meaning Canadian exporters can claim preferential access if their products meet the agreement’s rules of origin.

Based on the Tariff Schedule of the United States, 98.4 per cent of Canadian products enter the U.S. duty-free, while only 1.6 per cent face tariffs. These protected products are primarily agricultural goods considered sensitive by the U.S. — notably dairy and sugar.

These protected items are typically subject to tariff rate quotas, which allow limited quantities to enter at a lower (within-quota) duty rate, while imports beyond the quota are permitted at a higher (over-quota) tariff rate.

Steel and aluminum tariffs

Although Canada was not directly targeted by Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, its steel and aluminum industries remains significantly impacted by Section 232 tariffs. Importantly, these tariffs cannot be waived due to CUSMA.

Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 authorizes the U.S. president to restrict the import of certain goods if they threaten national security. Under this provision, the Trump administration has imposed a 25 per cent duty on steel, aluminum and related products.

Steel and aluminum products are crucial to Canada, with total exports of iron and steel, iron or steel products and aluminum products reaching $34.8 billion in 2024. It’s hard to imagine the U.S. justifying tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum on national security grounds, given Canada’s longstanding role as one of its closest allies.

Automotive tariffs

The automotive sector has also been targeted with the Section 232 tariffs. As Canada’s second-largest export to the U.S., valued at over $72.3 billion in 2024, the industry relies heavily on an integrated cross-border supply chain. That makes the sector particularly vulnerable to tariffs.

The imposition of a 25 per cent tariff on non-U.S. content in vehicles threatens the profitability of Canadian producers and reduces production efficiency.

Determining non-U.S. content at the border will lead to significant inefficiencies, including long wait times, as companies attempt to prove American content in vehicles. This process will also demand an excessive amount of documentation, imposing unnecessary costs on businesses.

This tariff also undermines CUSMA’s rules of origin, which allow vehicles with at least 75 per cent North American content to qualify for duty-free access. The Section 232 measure effectively penalizes compliant vehicles, creating a trade barrier inconsistent with the spirit of the agreement.

The way forward

The uncertainty created by the Trump administration’s unilateral trade policies poses a serious threat to Canada and the global economy as a whole. With Trump’s presidency just beginning, both Canada and the rest of the world must brace for the economic disruptions his policies may bring.

At the bilateral level, Canada appears to have exhausted nearly all diplomatic avenues to persuade the Trump administration to reverse its harmful tariff measures. Regionally, while Trump renegotiated the CUSMA agreement, his actions have undermined its spirit and violated key provisions.

At the multilateral level, the World Trade Organization (WTO) has been significantly weakened. Its dispute settlement mechanism has been rendered ineffective due to the U.S. blocking the appointment of new judges to its appellate body.

The only faint silver lining is that, despite threats during his first term to withdraw from the organization, Trump has not followed through. This suggests he still holds at least some degree of respect or recognition for the WTO’s role in global trade.

The world is currently navigating a period of deep uncertainty and confusion. Canada must stand in solidarity with the international community to exert collective pressure on the U.S. A co-ordinated global response could compel Trump to reconsider his unilateral trade policies.

Although Canada has been granted a reprieve from the new reciprocal tariffs, this should not lead to complacency. Instead, Canada should continue to collaborate with other nations to push for a more stable and rules-based global trading system. This is the way to protect Canada’s interests and reinforce multilateral co-operation.

Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor is an associate professor of agri-food trade and policy at the University of Guelph. This column first appeared on The Conversation website.

This article is written by or on behalf of an outsourced columnist and does not necessarily reflect the views of Castanet.



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