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Canada

Will there be a white Christmas?

by Trevor Rockliffe - Story: 84807
Dec 19, 2012 / 5:00 am

In a few days you can check our weather pages to see if Dec. 25 will be white or not, but that's a long range forecast and we all know what can happen in the long term.

For those who can't wait, Environment Canada has analyzed 57 years of weather records for 39 major centres across Canada, and calculated the probability of having a white snow-covered Christmas Day.

Amount of snowfall recorded (in centimetres) for major cities across Canada from 1955 -2011
City % Chance
1955-2011

% Chance Now

1992-2011

% Chance Before

1963-1982

 Perfect
Christmas
1955 - 2007		 Snow
Depth
Now
1992-2011		 Snow
Depth
Before
1963-1982
Brandon 93 90 95 28 19 9
Calgary 56 50 75 4 4 6
Charlottetown 79 60 95 48 7 17
Edmonton 86 80 100 20 11 17
Fredericton 77 55 85 30 6 22
Goose Bay 98 95 100 53 35 64
Grand Prairie 84 75 100 26 15 23
Halifax 58 45 65 24 3 10
Hamilton 61 60 65 26 6 5
Iqaluit 100 100 100 51 18 20
Kamloops 49 40 50 25 4 11
Kelowna 61 50 75 26 5 10
Kenora 100 100 100 43 23 35
London 70 60 75 33 8 10
Medicine Hat 56 45 70 17 5 7
Moncton 74 65 85 40 9 23
Montreal 77 70 80 25 8 16
Ottawa 81 75 80 35 16 18
Prince George 91 85 100 40 13 20
Penticton 28 20 35 11 2 5
Quebec 98 95 100 60 20 41
Regina 91 90 90 38 12 14
Saint John 61 45 70 36 4 11
Sarnia 61 35 80 19 4 9
Saskatoon 93 80 100 22 9 13
St. John's 63 60 55 24 6 9
Stephenville 82 70 90 64 11 23
Sudbury 95 90 100 46 20 21
Thunder Bay 96 90 100 38 14 24
Timmins 98 95 100 46 32 51
Toronto City 46 35 50 9 4 5
Toronto(GTA) 53 35 65 13 4 6
Vancouver 11 20 10 4 4 2
Victoria 11 15 10 6 3 1
Whitehorse 100 100 100 27 16 27
Wiarton 82 75 85 54 16 17
Windsor 46 40 45 4 3 3
Winnipeg 98 95 100 11 14 15
Yellowknife 100 100 100 27 25 25
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