17583
17670

Business

Volatile week ahead for loonie

by The Canadian Press - Story: 80026
Sep 3, 2012 / 10:00 am

The Canadian dollar could face severe cross-currents this week as traders look to the next rate announcement from the Bank of Canada, as well as results of the Quebec election and the latest jobs numbers.

Stock markets could also be volatile as traders also look to a rate announcement Thursday by the European Central Bank for definite moves to keep the lid on borrowing costs of the most vulnerable eurozone members, including Spain and Italy.

And the results of the August non-farm payrolls report could provide a clue as to whether the U.S. Federal Reserve thinks the economy is underperforming to a point where it could launch another round of stimulus.

There is no doubt among economists that the Canadian central bank will opt Wednesday to leave its key interest rate unchanged at one per cent amid a fragile global economic recovery and large parts of Europe in recession.

Traders will look to the central bank's announcement for any indication as to when rates may rise but it's not expected the Bank of Canada will change its language from the last announcement when it signalled an eventual tightening bias, indicating that rates would rise at some point.

"I suspect it will be more of the same for the bank," said Doug Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets

"And the reality is that they, like everyone else, are likely waiting to see what unfolds in the critical events ahead in Europe, starting with the ECB meeting on Thursday."

But ahead of that morning announcement, currency traders will already be digesting the results of Tuesday's general election in Quebec and what it means to political stability.

The election campaign got very little, if any, notice on markets even as a CROP survey released Friday suggested that the PQ was the front-runner, leading by four percentage points in the popular vote.

"The risk is underpriced and (under) recognized right now," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotia Capital, noting that there are so many factors weighing on the loonie this week.

The loonie could also be affected by Friday's Canadian jobs data as economists think that 11,000 jobs were created during the month.

Stock markets buffetted this year by uncertainty as the eurozone debt crisis worsened could find some lift Thursday if the ECB unveils plans to launch another bond-buying program to keep borrowing costs under control.

Ten-year bond yields in Spain and Italy pushed past the seven per cent level, which is considered unsustainable in the long run, earlier this summer.

The week ends with the major economic report of the week, the U.S. August non-farm payrolls report. Economists forecast that the American economy likely created 127,000 jobs during August following an unexpected surge of 163,000 during July, while the jobless rate held stedy at 8.3 per cent.

The jobs data will provide an important clue whether the Fed will announce it is embarking on another round of stimulus, after Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said last week that the central bank will act to promote growth as needed.

The Toronto stock market ended last week down 133 points or 1.1 per cent, leaving the TSX about even where it started the year.

The Canadian Press


Read more Business News

16532


Today's Market

S&P TSX 12613.05 +105.45
S&P CDNX 934.68 +1.82
DJIA 15354.40 +121.18
Nasdaq 3498.965 +33.722
S&P 500 1667.47 +17.00
Gold 1361.00 -26.10
Lumber 316.00 -4.50
Oil 96.02 +0.86
Natural Gas 4.058 +0.126
CDN Dollar 0.9725 N/A

_


Okanagan Companies

Sun Rype 6.00 0.00
Pacific Safety 0.045 +0.005
Knighthawk 0.02 0.00
QHR Technologies Inc 0.55 -0.03
Cantex 0.015 0.00
Anavex Life Sciences 0.54 +0.05
Metalex Ventures 0.075 -0.005
Russel Metals 26.65 -0.25
Copper Mountain Mining 1.52 -0.16
Colorado Resources 1.48 +0.46
ReliaBrand Inc 0.13 0.00

_









FEATURED Property
1547573#409 580 Sarsons Road
2 bedrooms 3 baths
$1,089,000
more details
image2image2image2
view all featured properties
Click here to feature your property
Please wait... loading


Tips for a stress-free summer move

The majority of Canadians prefer to make their big move during the summer season. There are a variety of reasons for choosing this time of year: it is easier to transport boxes in non-icy condition...


Income properties for sustained recovery

It appears as though more people these days are looking for an investment in real estate which offers cash flow returns. The fundamentals of cash flow type properties had been turned upsi...


Get in the Loop

Getintheloop Marketing Ltd. recently launched their membership platform, Getintheloop.ca. The new website offers an exclusive members area for access to discounts in the South Okanagan on premium res...

_


Previous Stories


17488

FIND MORE
Position yourself in the Okanagan's most visually comprehensive business directory.

Showcase your business like no other marketing can and Join the growing number of businesses that get more customers.
Learn more here



17153

RSS this page.
(Click for RSS instructions.)

Member of BC Press Council